Sunday, April 05, 2009

4/5/09 Bottom Fishing Portfolio - Final Report

Since October 3, 2008, my attempts to buy stocks near a bottom have failed miserably. My first attempt was to buy financial stocks, which have since fallen 50 to 90%, and an agricultural stock, which has fallen 10%. I have also experimented with buying calls on auto stocks and financial stocks, also without success. I've had the most success selling put contracts to open on Monsanto (MON) and Energy Conversion Devices (ENER), which earned a few hundred dollars to slightly offset the losses. In addition, I have had some success buying and selling stocks in February to March, 2009 that I believe will emerge well from the recession, e.g. Monsanto, Amazon (AMZN), and Energy Conversion Device.

In mid March, I took the opportunity to sell most of my positions during the bear market rally, even if it meant taking some losses. (If I had waited until last week, I would have reduced my losses in the financial stocks by about 12%.) In late March, I sold the PNC (PNC) leap call for a small profit At this point, I only have three positions in this portfolio, Monsanto, Energy Conversion Devices, and one PNC call. Although the financial stocks did rally again last week, I decided to hold the remaining PNC call to try to sell at a profit this week. I will likely hold onto Monsanto and Energy Conversion Devices for the longer term.

Overall, this portfolio is down 20.17%. Financial stocks, which had losses of 52 to 84%, were the main reason for the negative returns. In the table, the sales with gains are in blue and the sales with losses are in red.

Bottom Fishing Portfolio
Stock or Option [purchase date]SharesPurchase Price

Price on 4/3/09

Bank of America(BAC) [10/3/08]100


sold on 3/20/09 @ $6.03

J.P. Morgan (JPM) [10/3/08]100


sold on 3/20/09 @ $23.71

Wells Fargo (WFC) [10/3/08]100


sold on 3/20/09 @ $13.95

Monsanto (MON) [10/3/08]50



Ford Dec 5 call (FLA) [12/2/08]1000


expired 12/20/08 at $0

Ford Jan 7.5 call (FAU) [12/3/08]1000


expired 1/16/09 at $0

PNC May 45 call (PNCEI) [1/20/09]100



PNC Jan 55 call (WYLAK) [1/20/09]100



Monsanto (MON) [2/23/09]50


sold on 3/16/09 @ $81.34

Amazon (AMZN) [2/26/09]50


sold on 3/18/09 @ $71.13

Monsanto (MON) [2/26/09]50


sold on 3/20/06 @ $83.56

Amazon (AMZN) [3/6/09]100


sold on 3/11/09 at $68.87

Energy Conversion Devices (ENER) [3/6/09]100


sold on 3/13/09 at $18.46

Energy Conversion Devices (ENER) [3/20/09]100



Currently, I have profited from all five our of six put contracts which have been closed, allowed to expired or been exercised.

Put Contracts Sold Short to Open
Option [short date]SharesShort Price

Closing Prices

Monsanto Nov 60 put (MONWL) [10/3/08]100


closed on 10/29/08 for $0.91

Energy Conversion Nov 20 put (EQIWD) [11/12/08]100


expired 11/21/08 at $0

Monsanto Dec 40 put (MONXI) [11/20/08]100


expired 12/20/08 at $0

Energy Conversion Dec 17.5 put (EQIXW) [11/25/08]100


expired 12/20/08 at $0

Energy Conversion Feb 15 put (EQINC) [1/14/09]100


expired 2/19/08 at $0

Monsanto Mar 65 put (MONOM) [2/23/09]100


expired 3/20/08 at $0

Energy Conversion Mar 20 put (EQIOD) [2/26/09]100


exercised 3/20/09 @ $20

Since I am only trying to sell the PNC call, and plan to hold Monsanto and Energy Conversion Devices, this is the final report on the Bottom Fishing Portfolio.

Disclosure: At time of publication, I own shares of Monsanto, and Energy Conversion Devices. I am long a PNC call contract.

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This is not financial or investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor.

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