Monday, February 08, 2016

Trickling Funds into ETFs

We continue to trickle in funds to commission free dividend paying ETFs such as VNQ, VYM, VTI, FEU, SCHB and SCHD.   Since these ETFs are commission free, I can buy as little as one share at a time.  That way we can incrementally increase our investments without significant risk.   In fact, in today's market, we usually get to buy some cheaper shares a few days later.

These ETFs also pay dividends of 2-4%, which help mitigate the volatility in the current market.

Disclosure:  We own shares of VNQ, VYM, VTI, FEU, SCHB and SCHD in our investment acounts.

For more on Strategies and Plans, check back Mondays for a new segment.

This is not financial advice. Please consult a professional advisor.

Copyright © 2016 Achievement Catalyst, LLC

Saturday, February 06, 2016

Economic Slowdown or Recession?

Most economists seem to think the U.S. economy is just slowing down, but not heading towards recession.   However, the stock market seems to be forecasting a recession.

So which is it?

On one hand, the data indicates a slowing, but still positive, economy.   No contraction of GDP is sight yet.

However, individual stocks seem to be portraying a different situation.   Many stocks have been falling several months, with some down as much as 90% (e.g. oil and materials sector stocks).  Even the previous market leaders, technology and health care.  For example, Netflix is down about 38% from its all time high in December 2015.    Amazon is down about 28% in the same time frame.  Yesterday, Linkedin and Tableau both fell about 45% after disappointing earnings.

Either the stocks were extremely overpriced for perfection, or the economy is headed for a recession.
I think we are at an inflection point.   If the market continues lower, a recession is likely coming.  If the market demonstrates a major reversal in the next couple weeks, a slowdown could be the  explanation.

For now, I continue to remain cautious, waiting for market to show a clear direction.

Disclosure:  We own shares of Netflix.

For more on Reflections and Musings, check back every Saturday  for a new segment.

This is not financial advice. Please consult a professional advisor.

Copyright © 2016 Achievement Catalyst, LLC