"If you don't know where you're going, you'll end up someplace else." ~ Yogi Berra
I am flummoxed and having a crisis of confidence.
This market has me totally confused. The fast rebound, some stocks hitting new 52 week highs, penny stocks doubling, tripling and more, and confidence in a V economic recovery do not make sense to me. I thought many stocks were over priced before COVID-19 lockdowns.
I thought the downturn was going to be extended and allow more time for stocks to be reasonably priced. Now after lockdowns, many of the stocks have recovered 50% or more of their losses, with some exceeding previous highs, despite the overall fundamentals (and economy) being worse than before the lockdown. The DOW and S&P are near their highs, and the Nasdaq has hit a new 52 week high. I don't get it.
I tried shorting with Norwegian Cruise Lines, but bailed out due the volatility, and closed the short with a very small gain. If I had stayed in a few more days, I would have had a 10% gain.
Perhaps time to get out of the market.
I think I will continue selling profitable peripheral positions in our trading account, and perhaps even some profitable core positions. I believe lower prices will be coming, and will try to mitigate the impact by reducing our equity exposure.
For more on Reflections and Musings, check back Saturdays for a new segment.
This is not financial nor investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor.
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