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Thursday, April 16, 2026

The New Roaring Twenties

"History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes." ~  Mark Twain

About 100 years ago the U.S. market was on a tear upward.  Everybody was making money. The DOW had a six fold increase from 1921 to 1929  It kept going up until it didn't, when it fell about 90%.  Then came the Great Depression.

Since the bottom in 2020, the S&P 500 has had a 3.7 fold increase.   Although there have been major dips and even a bear market, stocks continue to go up in the longer term.  This has begged the question of if/when the other shoe will/may drop.  Stocks are expensive versus historical means, the U.S. is at war, the U.S. keeps growing, AI is displacing workers, etc,, etc., etc.

Is this time different? Or will a major correction/bear market occur soon.  I wish I knew.😎 

Inevitably, the market will decline/correct in the future.  The question is how far and for how long.  Time will only tell.  

In the meantime, I will continue to be cautious and keeping cash available in case of a future sudden a precipitous drop.

For more on Crossing Generations, check back every Thursday for a new segment.

This is not financial, stock picking nor investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor.

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