Based on my memory, which I did not fact check, war used to make the market decline significantly in the near term. The two I remember were Desert Storm in 1990 and the Russia/Ukraine in 2022. In 1990, I was very concerned. I had some recent stock purchases that had big declines. As soon as the stocks recovered, I sold them for a small profit. Of course, when I sold the market did recover.
In 2022, Russia went to war with Ukraine and the market dropped. In fact, the drop was followed by a bear market that didn't end until 2023. I have significant losses during that drop.
With the war in Iran, this time the market seems to have remained flat to slight down in the first week so far. At this point, I am surprised the market has responded with more negativity and declines. At this point, I am holding, including the purchases made in February 2026, which surprisingly are up.
It's too soon to conclude that the Iran conflict won't result in a big decline, but for now, my accounts are flat or slightly up despite the relatively high volatility during the day.
This is not financial, stock picking nor investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor.
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