This week was ugly for stocks, with the S&P 500 index falling 1.97% and the Nasdaq composite falling 4.53%. Investors were a little skittish about oil prices going up, interest rates going up, memory stocks falling significantly and AI companies business models and financial situations in question. The cracks in the stock market are getting bigger.
I expect a major decline to take place sometime within the next 6-18 months, but when I don't know. As Yogi Berra once said, "It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future."
However, I am preparing for the inevitable. I've sold all of my memory stocks that were purchased in 2026 at a profit. I thinning out my SAAS software stocks. I've bought some fixed income (treasuries yielding 5% and muni bond fund yielding 4% tax free). I'm keeping a few years of expenses in money market funds. I've bought a few SPY put lotto options (100-150 strike expiration Jan 2027). We're paying off our credit cards each month. Finally, we bought a couple 1oz gold bars and will continue to hold the 90% silver coins we bought at the bottom in 2011.
For our children, I'll start scaling into the S&P 500 index mutual fund once decline is 10-15% or more, with the expectation they will hodl for 40 years.
If the decline doesn't happen or takes longer to happen, we'll still be OK since we will continue to hodl most of our equity with the plan and expectation of not needing to sell in the next 5 years.
This is not financial, retirement, nor investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor.
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