Timing the Market Possibility

Interesting article from LinkedIn on timing the market.  Below is a copy of the key points.

--We often hear that "time in the market beats timing the market." But what if 94% of the trading calendar has been "dead money" for nearly three decades?

--If you stripped out just 16 days a year from the S&P 500—the day of a Fed meeting and the day before—the stock market would look like a different world.

--As of today’s close (12/19/25), the S&P500 sits at 6,834.50. Without those specific "Fed Windows" since 1997, the index would be trading closer to 3,000.

--That is a 3,800+ point "Fed Premium." 🤯

--This data, frequently highlighted by Tony Pasquariello at Goldman Sachs, reveals a staggering "Fed Premium" that defines modern equity returns.

My first reaction is, "If this a great idea, I wouldn't be hearing about it.  The developer would keep it secret and make billions."

Second, if there is an edge, it won't always be a positive gain every time.  Successive early losses can easily wipe out one's principal quickly.

Still I find the opportunity interesting and may make a few "fun" trades using this concept.

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This is not financial nor investing advice. Please consult a professional advisor.

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