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This year's Presidential election is the toughest one I've ever voted in. My dilemma is that I don't like either of the major pa...

Saturday, August 22, 2015

It's Probably Going to Get Really Ugly

The 1017 point drop in the Dow this week has wreaked havoc on my investment portfolio.  Unfortunately, I believe the indices will continue to fall next week.  At this point,China and the Fed have lost their economic credibility with the market.  Hence, I expect the selling will continue.

One factor that may contribute to a steeper decline is the high level of existing margin debt.  As stock prices fall, accounts with margin debt may receive margin calls that require further selling of stock. I have also read that the emerging market currency crisis may be another factor causing a stock market decline, just like in 1998.

Right now, I'm anticipating at least a 20% drop in the market indices.   During that time, I will be trickling in a small amount funds into commission free broad market ETFs.  In addition, I will make some small purchases of specific stocks to build our retirement dividend portfolio.    For now, I don't expect to put more than 20% of our cash position back into the market.

For more on  Reflections and Musings, check back Saturdays  for a new segment.

This is not financial advice. Please consult a professional advisor.

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