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Thursday, October 30, 2025

FOMO Buy or Fear the Crash?

"It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future." ~ Yogi Berra

I've been wrestling with whether to invest now or wait until the next correction.   On one hand, I have data that shows the S&P index always exceeds its previous high, usually in 1-2 years or less.   Recently, if one had invested in the S&P at the February 19, 2020 high before COVID lockdown, one would be up about 200% today.

Then I saw the chart below.  Looks scary for two reason.  The 2000-2002 bear market tool about 12 years to recover to the 2000 peak.   From 2009 until now, it looks like "Stonks only go up," with only 3-5 short blips. For example, on October 28, 2025,  NVDA (Nvidia) was up over 115% from its low on April 8, 2025.   IMHO,  the market is due for a major extended correction.



So.... I'm going to stay with the plan of holding the core, selling the peripheral holdings and wait for a 10% or greater drop to start scaling in to VOO and MGK for my kids' accounts.

For more on Crossing Generations, check back every  Thursday for a new segment.

This is not financial nor investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor.

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