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Saturday, November 22, 2025

Interesting Bull vs. Bear Markets Chart

Sometimes a chart can mislead one's thinking.

I saw this chart and liked it.  It seemed to support the concept of staying invested since the Bull Market sections (blue) are tall and wide, while the Bear Market sections (red) are short and narrow.  Bigger is much better it appears.

However, when looking at the math, I realized the maximum loss for a Bear Market is 100%.   Thus the height of the Bear Market section is limited, while the Bull Market section has no upper limit.  In addition, a 50% drop in a Bear Market, will require a 100% gain to break even in a Bull Market.  Similarly, a a 25% drop in a Bear Market, will require a 33% gain to break even in a Bull Market.

Yes, Bull Markets are great.   However, Bear Markets are significantly more painful than implied by the chart below.






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This is not financial nor investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor.

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