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Be One's Own CFO for Personal Finances

Here's a simple strategy of managing personal finances:  50/30/20 rule.   50% for necessities such as housing, utilities, groceries.   3...

Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Recession Indicator - 10-year vs 3-month Spread

The 10-year vs 3-month treasury spread just turned positive, which may indicate an upcoming recession according to this Motley Fool article.


Here's the graph from article:


For the past four recessions, the 10-year/3-month yield spread turned positive just before a recession officially started.

That spread just recently flipped from negative to positive again, which historically has meant a recession occurring within the next year.

For more on Ideas You Can Use , check back every  Tuesday for a new segment.

This is not financial advice. Please consult a professional advisor.

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