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Sunday, February 01, 2026

Placing a Bet on Commodities

With the dollar devaluation that is happening, I expect commodity prices to increase since they are typically dollar denominated.  This happened after the Great Recession of 08/09 when the Fed used QE to devalue the dollar.   Back then, oil rose to record highs.

While oil still below those all time highs, there has been a significant increase on Gold and Silver prices in the last few months to all time highs..   I expect other commodities will soon follow upward, but maybe not as drastic.

Since I don't know which commodities will go up the most, I decided to buy a commodity ETF, PDBC.  I chose PDBC over DBC since PDBC is a non K-1 ETF.   I avoid ETFs that issue K-1s since it may cause complexity when filing taxes.  For examples, K-1s are sometimes issued as late as October results in either filing an extension or amendment to include the K-1 in the tax return.

Disclosure:  I purchased PDBC in our accounts this past week, January 27-30, 2026.

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This is not financial nor investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor.

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