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This year's Presidential election is the toughest one I've ever voted in. My dilemma is that I don't like either of the major pa...

Monday, September 26, 2011

Wait and See Strategy

For now, I'm sitting on the sidelines and waiting to see how the European sovereign debt crisis unfolds. Two technical analysis blogs that I follow posted SPY -- at best still bottoming, worse to come?  and S&P 500 Chart – Do or Die Moment.  I agree, the direction is not very clear and there will be a lot of volatility.   To me, it's not worth the risk to be in the market.  The downside risk is higher than the upside potential.

Yes, I may miss a big short term advance.  However, I am avoiding the gut wrenching declines like last week.  To me, trade off is worth it:  I sleep better at nights.   Besides, with interest rates so low, the U.S. may risk the issue that Japan is experiencing-- deflation.   So being in cash feels pretty good right now.
 
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